Here is the analysis I sent out FREE this morning before the london open to those who have sent me their e mail details.I banked over a 100 pips from this today.
More detailed to follow but just posted this on twitter.
morning all. i have a sell signal euro/gbp & a buy signal on gbp 4 hour chart (this is a private set up that i have that has produced over 90% of the time this year).
normally on a 4 hour trade the stop is below the candle that has just closed but in the case of the gbp 4 hour that is 130 pips & in the current market i dont like it.
the euro gbp is only 60. or so but may only have limited movement. to get round this i will use the 200 on the 4 hour at 1.4530 area as my stop for gbp & the full stop (above recent highs on the euro/gbp.
at the moment i am looking for pullbacks (especially euro/gbp possibly to the 34 & 55 emas at 0.8960 area and then look for clues for it turning down again.
Remember this is NOT a tipping service. This is for education only, forex is extremely risky & you can lose your shirt !
more detailed analysis to follow.
2nd morning e mail:
hi. got pullback entries re earlier post for gbp long & euro/gbp short. euro/gbp pulled back to 34/55ema as predicted and gbp pulled back to 200 on 4 hour. on gbp i put my stop at 1.4490 just below psych level & 34/55 emas.
i have taken profit of 30 pips off 1st lot on gbp. stop to entry on 2nd lot. balance to run. i have taken 20 pips profit euro/gbp 1st lot. stop to entry on 2nd lot
jan/february i just pulled the trigger & it worked. current state of the markets i have to look for pullbacks.
general market overview. as you are aware things have been very choppy in april. i have managed to make good pips just looking for breaks & bounces at overnight asian highs & lows. (if you are new have a look at the diagrams on the results on the blog). the situation is the same today. put a line above and below the asian session highs & lows. look for break outs and pullbacks.
then decide which pair has the best potential for a move. in general i avoid pairs where the overnight asian move has been more than 65% of an average move (to find out daily average ranges go to this page & scroll down to the bottom of the page http://www.global-view.com/forex-trading-tools/chartpts.html
if the overnight range is less than 60% of an average days move.look for the pair with the best % chance. eg a 50% move on euro/gbp is 55pips but 50% of gbp is 110. which is best bet ? doh.
thats it for now. i have made 50 pips from earlier post. the 2nd parts of the trade are now no risk/stress free. that will probably do for me today. apologies to newer members who signed up during the night, i didn’t have time to add you to the list before i sent out the 1st part of todays analysis.
re going forward with the $1.000.000 challenge. i am having major problems with the administration. please post questions on the comments section of the blog. i am getting dozens of emails a day, often on the same subject & i do not have the time to answer them all. there is only me ! i have no admin assistant and i make zero money from the blog.
Also some of you have signed up 3 or 4 times and i am spending hours a day trying to keep up. i am going to take tomorrow off to come up with a better way to deal with all this. i often don’t trade fridays anyway.
i probably need to automate the back office stuff with someone like aweber, as the admin is interfering with my trading. i will let you know when i have a solution.
i will try to still post some brief analysis for you friday, but not too early. i need a lie- in !!
3rd part posted on twitter noon b.s.t
Best trade of the day. had a few on twitter who questioned my sanity on this, but i will show you why i took the trade in the results section a bit later. 100+ pips so far today
brave trader would consider shorting euro gbp NOW. it has just rejected at 0.8990 area for 4th time. risky but small stop, good risk/reward
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Hi Marc, thanks for your great and free work! Kindly send me your analysis
Hi marc, nice website. Obviously this is more a labour of love, google ad clicks can’t hold a candel to winning 4000 pips in 2009. So what is the point? Stave off bordem !!! Staring at screens all day long from the canaries … and not on the beach is frustrating! You may contact me for ideas …
hi. you are right. it can be a lonely job trading forex. also i was teaching my kids how to build a web site. that was the easy part. didn’t realise how much work was involved maintaining a blog. will have to see if i can maintain it once the summer comes & the lure of the beach is stronger. regards, marc
Marc just wanted to say thank you on your early morning analysis of the market. You called it RIGHT CHF is having a pretty good run. I’m in and waiting on an Exit.
Can I ask a favor of you? In one of your articles could you elaborate in more detail on daily ranges and how to figure the % move and what is good or better. Your update was clear and I think I understand need to go through the process more. The website you gave is now on my bookmarks and I want to include this an part of my daily analysis. Winning in this business is all about stacking the deck in your favor. I appreciate your commentary.
Thanks,
Guy
marc you are great…got to teach me how did you learned all that staff…i’ll like to trade for ever…it won’t be a problem for me only nedd to know how