As I said in the email, most of you are having great success with the LMT (Low Maintenance Forex Trading Formula), simply by following the rules. Being disciplined & using strict money management. If you are happy with that, and more importantly you are making money, stick with it !
I tend to be more cautious, but I have on occasion questioned the LMT for example on a trend. My experience has told me that a pair was heading up, but the LMT has said down. I haven’t taken the trade and guess what the LMT was right more times than I care to remember !
If you just want to trade it “like it says on the box” the best advice I can give you is stick to pairs that are trending in the same direction on the daily and 4 hour charts.
Still caution is not a bad attitude with forex. This week I am a little wary with the gbp, euro & gbp/yen and a few other pairs. If you look on the daily charts there are quite a few pairs that have broken daily trend lines going back many months.
This is usually an indication of a change of trend direction. My best advice again is stick to pairs that are trending in the same direction on both the 4 hour charts as well as the daily and be a little wary of the aforementioned pairs if price is close to strong support and resistance lines.
The gbp especially leads me to believe that it may be on the way down for a few days at least. Take a look at Fig 1, price has clearly broken down through a strong daily trend line that has been in place since March
Fig 1
Price broke through, but failed to stay above the 1.6600 area, as per last weeks analysis. There was a very strong reversal candle on the 4 hour and price is currently at a 78.6 fib area. If it breaks down here it could be on its way back down to the 1.6200 area and even as low as 1.6000 area.
I have checked the daily charts on Forex Meta & Alpari UK and I can not see any daily trades that are going to trade at market open tonight. The euro/$ looks like we will have a sell signal on the 4 hour. Wait for market open before entering any trades to avoid gaps.
Many pairs are moving sideways on the daily as well eg euro/cad. Get in the habit of looking for trend lines as well as support and resistance.
Lots of you had an awesome week last week. Some of you not so well, but judging by the emails I get nearly all of you who are not achieving the same results are not sticking to the rules, Deans and my advanced.
Oh no here he goes again ! This system is extremely successful when the market is trending and if you follow the rules.
Here are a cross section of some of the emails I have had last week;
- Member lost a trade because he put the stop loss 25 pips from where he entered. Wrong. Every trade allows for spread, BUT you need to calculate the stop loss from the CLOSE of the candle that gives the signal NOT from where you enter or even the open of the new candle. Sometimes there is a slight difference between closing price of one and open of another.
- Member lost because he was trading Gbp/chf. This is not a recommended pair, therefore it is not an lmt trade.
- Member lost who was trading off the 1 hour charts ” I have been getting reasonable results with it so I went for it on 3 pairs, they all lost”. Trading off a 1 hour chart is Not an lmt trade.
- Member placed a trade late New York session late friday. Deans rules and my advanced specifically say do not enter trades late on a friday. I had also emailed you all on wednesday recommending not to trade nfp thursday and I explained that friday was likely to be thin due to the USA holidays (most pairs went sideways within small support & resistance lines).
- Member placed a trade where the preceding candle was more than 1.5 times the stop
Guys, you have in your possession an awesome piece of software. Follow the rules and listen to the advice of myself and some of the other experienced traders who regularly post here on the blog and you WILL win.
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